Depends how it was lost (or avoided). Let's say the British response early
in the war, but after the initial fighting, was to make a really good
offer of autonomy (and of course a complete pardon for anyone taking an
oath of loyalty), the British would have "won" (i.e. British North America
remains British), but the French Revolution might not have been avoided
(France was still screwed up, and the American rebellion would still be a
credible influence even if it resulted in enhanced rights than
independence). In OTL the war never was all that popular in Britain, and
if the offer followed a British victory (e.g. recapture of New York),
would have been seen as a British victory, followed by a wise policy of
reconciliation with the defeated rebels.
Once you have a French Revolution, you are open to Napoleonic Wars though
rather than being a sideshow (War of 1812), the American role would have
been to perhaps send American regiments to serve in Europe (the
Continental Army's first foreign service, a century ahead of OTL), or
attack French possessions in the Americas.
john0714 (john0714@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
) wrote:
: I think if America lost the AWI there would likely not been any
: Napoleonic Wars as we knew them and almost surely none if the AWI was
: never fought. So, IMHO, assuming the contrary in any change or lack
: thereof in post 1783 events is assuming a lot. IOW the Napoleonic Wars
: are almost certainly butterflied away.


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